``Fiscal action could be helpful in principle, as fiscal and monetary stimulus together may provide broader support for the economy than monetary policy actions alone,'' Bernanke said in testimony to the House Budget Committee. He repeated remarks from last week that the Fed is ready to take ``substantive additional action'' to insure against risks of a recession. Bernanke's acknowledgment that the economy is weak enough to need a fiscal stimulus may reinforce forecasts for the Fed to lower interest rates at least half a point this month. In a question and answer period initiated by Budget Committee Chairman Rep. John Spratt, a South Carolina Democrat, Bernanke said the Fed is ``not forecasting a recession'' for this year. Retail sales fell last month, unemployment rose, and housing markets are mired in the worst slump in 16 years. ``Banks have also evidently become more restrictive in their lending to firms and households,'' he said. ``More expensive and less-available credit seems likely to impose a measure of restraint on economic growth,'' said Bernanke
Homebuilders broke ground on the fewest homes since 1991 last month, the Commerce Department reported today. Building permits, a sign of future construction, declined by the most in 12 years, suggesting the housing slump will deepen.
Residential construction subtracted about 1 percent from growth in the third quarter, and ``likely curtailed growth even more in the fourth quarter,'' Bernanke said. Sluggish housing markets ``may continue to be a drag on growth for a good part of this year.''
New home sales will probably fall another 15 percent this year after tumbling an estimated 26 percent in 2007, according to a forecast from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the industry's largest trade group. Sales of existing homes will fall 13 percent this year, the group said.
``Conditions continue to be challenging in our markets and are expected to remain so throughout 2008,'' Robert Schottenstein, chief executive officer of M/I Homes Inc., a homebuilder in the Midwest, Florida and Mid-Atlantic states, said in a statement on Jan. 10. The Columbus, Ohio-based company said that sales fell in the fourth quarter.
``Conditions continue to be challenging in our markets and are expected to remain so throughout 2008,'' Robert Schottenstein, chief executive officer of M/I Homes Inc., a homebuilder in the Midwest, Florida and Mid-Atlantic states, said in a statement on Jan. 10. The Columbus, Ohio-based company said that sales fell in the fourth quarter.
